Gold Target $ 1100 – Bullion Daily

Bullion Daily

The following information is a guideline (trading plan) and should not be treated as financial advice. Not advice but banter and active in sharing trade ideas via twitter @sugardaddyFED. You can also follow us via TradingView.com for the latest charts update.

Daily Update

Gold retest low at 1150.99 but rebound has been weak

Hedge Fund continue to hold high amount of short orders

Not ruling out a retest of 1146, 1142 and 1130

If break and close above 1163, price could test 20 ma followed by 50 ma

Commodity market is heavily oversold

Break below 1130 then 1100 is the target

Daily Update

Silver failed to close above the 20 ma and has since retraced lower

Minor support at 1530 levels but will not rule out a retest lower

Weakness as long as price trade below 20 ma

Marked that silver has an inside day and only a break above 20 dma and 1590 will give us the confidence to swing long

The scenario has not changed as silver continue to trade within the downtrend channel

Price continue to trade within the inside day candle created on 8th July. If the inside day play out as we anticipated, then a close above 1140 can target the 20 DMA. Note the 20 DMA has been a strong resistance but with RSI oversold, platinum may have enough fire power to break it. The risk reward has certainly swing in favour of building long positions. Chinese GDP numbers will shed some light into the next price action. A strong growth number could potentially help platinum to test higher.

With the daily RSI showing bullish divergence and price broke below the lower Bollinger band, is a relief rally underway in this oversold market? We thing a short term bottom is in place and a relief rally could unravel and target the 20 dma.  One thing for sure, the market trend and dynamic has changed into a bearish one thus any rallies are selling opportunity. In the short term, a break above 20 DMA could allow palladium to run higher but resistance from 50 and 100 DMA will be difficult to crack.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s